Sunday, July 3, 2016

Germany as a World Power; Merkel as a World Leader

In 1945, at the end of WW2, many observers wondered whether Germany would permanently sink to the level of a ‘third world’ nation. Some leaders, like Henry Morgenthau, proposed that all of Germany be turned into farmland, and be left without technology or industry.

Within a decade, however, Germany had left behind the postwar Stunde Null – a sort of historical pause in the wake of the war’s devastation and simultaneously a historic reset, a chance to start over, the ‘zero hour’ – and progressed toward its Wirtschaftswunder – its ‘economic miracle’ orchestrated by Konrad Adenauer and his appointee, Ludwig Erhard, who cut taxes and deregulated the economy, empowering the Germans to construct one of history’s most dazzling economic recoveries and breathtaking postwar reconstruction.

Eager to keep a low profile and shy about any form of assertiveness, Germany did not seek a leading role among the world’s nations. But the power of its economy, and the creativity and industriousness of its people, placed that role upon a hesitant and even unwilling Germany. Germany’s foreign minister, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, writes:

Over the past two decades, Germany’s global role has undergone a remarkable transformation. Following its peaceful reunification in 1990, Germany was on track to become an economic giant that had little in the way of foreign policy. Today, however, the country is a major European power that attracts praise and criticism in equal measure. This holds true both for Germany’s response to the recent surge of refugees — it welcomed more than one million people last year — and for its handling of the euro crisis.

Just as Germany was reluctant to assume a guiding role in the world, so was its chancellor, Angela Merkel.

Merkel’s style is calm, steady, and reticent. She hardly fits the romanticized notion of a world-historical leader. Yet history demonstrates that such people rarely correspond to this romanticized concept. Alan Crawford and Tony Czuczka write:

A scientist by training whose defining trait is caution, Merkel was forced to look beyond just Germany’s interests and to assume leadership in Europe. Thrust to the fore of policy making, she stepped up, slowly but with growing determination, to defend the euro she saw as the glue holding together the European Union (EU) that had been forged out of the ashes of war to stop the continent ever again descending into conflict. But how did the chancellor who came to office pledging to govern by means of many “small steps” come to take on the role of European savior? And what would the rest of Europe make of her prescription for Europe’s ills?

Germany did not seek a key role among the world’s nations, but by maintaining a consistent record of economic growth and productivity, Germany became a model to which other nations looked for counsel.

Merkel did not seek to be a world leader, but by demonstrating her abilities in global diplomatic relations, domestic policy, and party politics, she displayed the skills which caused other leaders to seek her guidance.

From the banking meltdown of 2008 to the subsequent Greece crisis, from Putin’s adventurism in the Crimean Peninsula to the ‘Brexit’ vote in 2016, Merkel has handled decisions with an unflustered proficiency which causes other world leaders to study her, and which caused the Germans themselves to forgive her for allowing a mass of dubious immigrants, posing as Syrian refugees, into the country.

Without seeking it, wanting it, or trying to get it, Germany and Merkel have obtained roles as a world leaders.